2022 Election Forecast

Senate & Governors

Last updated 11/8/2022, 05:48 PM

  • Senate
  • Governors

The Senate

We constructed a model to predict the outcomes of the 2022 Senate elections. Click on a colored state on the map to learn more about the race, the candidates, and our prediction.

R Majority30.5%D Majority69.5%
ALAKAZARCACOCTDEFLGAHIIDILINIAKSKYLAMEMDMAMIMNMSMOMTNENVNHNJNMNYNCNDOHOKORPARISCSDTNTXUTVTVAWAWVWIWYSeat up forelectionNot up forelection

The latest

The Death of GOOFI?

Nov 11, 2022, 2:00 AM

IS SILLY THE SHARK TO GOOFI’S GUPPY? The Rise and Fall of GOOFI; A SILLY tale of love, betrayal, and murder.

Methodology

In the interest of transparency and education, we describe in detail exactly how we came up with all of the numbers in our simulation. Read the methodology page about our reasoning and methods for constructing the model.